Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.031267 0.033615 0.035964 0.038488 0.041120 0.043780 0.046668
2025-10-12 0.026739 0.030432 0.034253 0.038488 0.043034 0.047755 0.053013
2025-10-19 0.023940 0.028394 0.033113 0.038456 0.044305 0.050486 0.057482
2025-10-26 0.022398 0.027484 0.032980 0.039307 0.046341 0.053873 0.062502
2025-11-02 0.020709 0.026244 0.032335 0.039456 0.047480 0.056176 0.066244
2025-11-09 0.019158 0.025036 0.031615 0.039420 0.048324 0.058076 0.069472
2025-11-16 0.017769 0.023920 0.030916 0.039328 0.049035 0.059769 0.072419
2025-11-23 0.016452 0.022805 0.030149 0.039092 0.049525 0.061166 0.074992
2025-11-30 0.015346 0.021880 0.029547 0.038997 0.050134 0.062662 0.077644
2025-12-07 0.014072 0.020680 0.028561 0.038397 0.050109 0.063394 0.079396
2025-12-14 0.012851 0.019483 0.027523 0.037685 0.049909 0.063889 0.080844
2025-12-21 0.011693 0.018308 0.026461 0.036899 0.049581 0.064202 0.082051
2025-12-28 0.011376 0.018252 0.026836 0.037928 0.051505 0.067249 0.086561
2026-01-04 0.010606 0.017574 0.026415 0.037978 0.052264 0.068951 0.089542
2026-01-11 0.009868 0.016892 0.025952 0.037942 0.052892 0.070476 0.092298
2026-01-18 0.009555 0.016772 0.026199 0.038787 0.054588 0.073269 0.096550
2026-01-25 0.008986 0.016263 0.025913 0.038934 0.055409 0.075007 0.099547
2026-02-01 0.008388 0.015679 0.025501 0.038898 0.055987 0.076438 0.102171
2026-02-08 0.007813 0.015095 0.025062 0.038807 0.056479 0.077752 0.104647
2026-02-15 0.007227 0.014462 0.024532 0.038573 0.056772 0.078814 0.106811
2026-02-22 0.006730 0.013934 0.024122 0.038480 0.057230 0.080064 0.109195
2026-03-01 0.006105 0.013170 0.023355 0.037884 0.057026 0.080487 0.110565
2026-03-08 0.005492 0.012385 0.022525 0.037178 0.056658 0.080688 0.111650